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Crown Green Handicap

Phil Duckers

Team: Heswall Rbl BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

708

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

58

Matches Played

20

Wins

38

Losses

34%

Win Rate

6.4

Avg Win Margin

8.8

Avg Loss Margin

11-17

Home Record

9-21

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
58 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/6/2019

A large recent sample: 58 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins20/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 58 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

9 Jun21 Jul8 Jun20 Jul24 May17 Jul29 May6 Aug-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(35%)
34%
score-0.31→contribution-0.11
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
6.4
score-0.27→contribution-0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.8
score-0.14→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(15%)
889
score-0.44→contribution-0.07
Weighted Score-0.292
Sample Size Confidence
100%(58/33 matches)
Rating883 → shrunk 883→ adjusted 708
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

20W38L58 matches·34.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall Rbl B2016–2019Division C, Division B56193733.9%
Heswall Rbl2016–2018Division A21150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/6/2019Mike WalshA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
8/1/2019Mark McaseyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/25/2019Steve SherlockH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/24/2019vs Bebington ParkA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
7/16/2019Nigel WardH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/27/2019Jean TaggartH5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/25/2019vs Bromborough Recs BA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
6/13/2019Henry WilsonH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
5/29/2019vs Hoylake Central & MelroseA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
5/2/2019Peter SteeleA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
8/16/2018Ken WrightH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
8/7/2018Peter HolianA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
8/2/2018Roy BrannonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
7/31/2018Phil EdgeH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/26/2018Brian LusseyA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
7/24/2018Joe BrettH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision B
7/17/2018Mike DunneA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision B
7/12/2018Jackie ThompsonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
7/10/2018John McgibbonH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
6/21/2018Roy CookeH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
6/14/2018Roy BrannonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
6/7/2018Jeff HitchellA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision B
5/31/2018Jeff JonesH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/24/2018Ralph BowieA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
5/15/2018Lesley QuinnH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
8/22/2017Chris Griffiths-griptonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/16/2017vs Oxton Cons CA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
8/15/2017Peter SteeleH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
8/10/2017Kathryn McaseyA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
8/3/2017Malcolm RannardH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/27/2017Sarah ParnellH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/20/2017Andy PorterA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
7/13/2017Tom MayH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/11/2017Alan SteedmanA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/6/2017Neil PowellA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
7/4/2017Colin LitsterH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/29/2017Alan HoughtonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/15/2017Anthony ClareA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/8/2017Roy WilliamsH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/31/2017vs Pensby CA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
8/10/2016vs Oxton Cons CA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/9/2016Mike GallagherH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
8/8/2016vs Bromborough Recs BA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
8/2/2016Peter CowanA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
7/21/2016Dave LewisH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision A
7/21/2016Tom MayA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/19/2016Stephen McloughlinH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
7/14/2016Peter SteeleA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/6/2016Peter BuckneyA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/30/2016Mark MasonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/23/2016Sam ThompsonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision C
6/16/2016Aaron RichardsA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Len DaviesH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/1/2016vs Hoylake CentralA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016John SheppardH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Dave HarrisonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
5/12/2016Mark ObrienA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016Roy CookeH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy4 games · 2W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundPeter Cowan / George LowdenSea Dog15-11WINWON
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundClive Brown / Neil PowellBebington Park15-13WINWON
Semi Final RoundIan Muskett / Brian SommervilleTixall1-15LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJoe Landsborough / Lewis BullenKendal9-15LOSSLOST
Geoff Clare Trophy4 games · 3W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundChris WentworthBebington Park21-14WINLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMike DunneAlbany B21-5WINWON
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundMuriel EvansPt Sunlight Vill & Wks B21-13WINWON
Quarters RoundChris HendryOxton Cons C19-21LOSSWON
Leverhulme Cup4 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGed RichardsonParkfield19-21LOSSLOST
20172 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPeter TeagueBromborough Recs B2-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundKath DaviesPensby8-21LOSSLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundJames MotleyGladstone9-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundMark WoodCammell Laird11-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLLWLWWLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Peter Steele0330%5/2/2019
Bromborough Recs B202100%6/25/2019
Roy Brannon0220%8/2/2018
Roy Cooke11250%6/21/2018
Oxton Cons C0220%8/16/2017
Tom May0220%7/13/2017
Mike Walsh0110%8/6/2019
Mark Mcasey101100%8/1/2019
Steve Sherlock0110%7/25/2019
Bebington Park0110%7/24/2019
Biggest Win
Henry Wilson (+12)6/13/2019
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-18)7/24/2019
Nemesis
Peter Steele0-3 H2H
Best Season
201747% · 15 matches
Worst Season
201827% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
38% → 31%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
84341 known · 17 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-250% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
12-2532% win rate

By Division

Division C16-26 (38%)
Division B3-11 (21%)
Division A1-1 (50%)
Division A50%
1W·1L·2 played
Division B21.4%
3W·11L·14 played
Division C38.1%
16W·26L·42 played

Debut

May 10, 2016

Latest

Aug 6, 2019

Seasons Active

4 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (58 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019